In his recent analysis, Nicolas Goetzmann, Head of Research and Macroeconomic Strategy at Financière de la Cité, offers a compelling and comprehensive examination of our current economic landscape, highlighting the critical issues plaguing the United States, China, and the European Union.
He astutely points out the United States’ relative stability is grounded in a robust domestic demand that continues to fuel the country’s development. In contrast, China is grappling with an outdated growth model, characterized by unsustainable levels of investment and a heavy trade surplus. And in the tussle for economic supremacy between the U.S. and China, the European Union, particularly the Eurozone, finds itself in a precarious position, weakened by a lackluster domestic demand and a heavy reliance on an external trade structure that’s been geopolitically undermined in recent years.
Goetzmann suggests that European strategic ambition, focused on “strategic autonomy,” is at odds with our current development model rooted in external demand and characterized by internal weakness. To address this, Goetzmann advocates for a macroeconomic model dedicated to restoring and structurally supporting internal demand within Europe.
Such a shift, Goetzmann argues, would benefit European businesses by creating a robust domestic market akin to the United States. It would simultaneously reduce Europe’s vulnerability to external demand and elevate the income of its population. This strategy would foster structural growth, lead to increased investment, and drive future growth potential. Additionally, it would offer more significant fiscal leeway to Eurozone governments.
To the least, this is a call to action. Worth reading, more than happy to hear your thoughts.


